This paper shows how malaria incidence can be modelled at a fine spatial and temporal resolution from health facility data to help focus surveillance and control to population not attending health facilities.
By linking transmission to parasite flow [via human mobility], it is possible to stratify landscapes for malaria control and elimination as [malaria parasite] sources are disproportionately important to the regional persistence of malaria parasites. [This study] examined how the landscape of transmission and burden changed from the pre-elimination setting by comparing the location and extent of predicted pre-elimination transmission foci with modeled incidence for 2009.
Low malaria transmission in Namibia suggests that elimination is possible, but the risk of imported malaria from Angola remains a challenge. This case study reviews the early transition of a program shift from malaria control to elimination in three northern regions of Namibia.